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The Great Brownback Electability Problem

Over at RedState, a post entitled “They All Suck” eviscerates the current crop of GOP presidential wannabes. Their comments on Senator Brownback’s quest to be President:

[Brownback] has a better chance of getting hit by a meteor while being consumed by a blue whale being struck by lightening.

They all suck. (Well, okay, Brownback doesn’t suck at all, but I perceive no viability for his candidacy.)

Brownback thus far has not convinced, nor even made inroads in convincing, most GOP primary voters that he has a chance of winning a general election. He is viewed as utterly unelectable due to his views on abortion, gay rights, and religion in government. I sense a sort of pity for Brownback in the conservative blogs. A feeling that he represents all that they do (with the glaring omission of the immigration issue) and because of that has no chance to succeed with the American public at large.

There is one way, and one way only, that Brownback can overcome this electability argument. Cold. Hard. Cash. If he turns in a stellar fundraising report on January 31st he can prove that he is a serious candidate that could be competitive. If he raises a piddly sum, then it will be clear that the GOP donor class does not think he has a chance and thus does not think he is worth the investment.

Does Brownback Have Problems in the KS GOP?

According to an AP article, he just might:

Candidates are supposed to enjoy the unquestioned backing of their parties in their home states for the obvious benefits it could bring to the state. In 1996, when Bob Dole was the GOP nominee, there seemed no question from the beginning that he would enjoy the support of any Kansas Republican of any prominence.

However, there are questions about whether Brownback can say the same.

Not only does his strong opposition to abortion and embryonic stem cell research bother moderates, but many believe he has actively helped push the state GOP to the right.

“Sen. Brownback has got to reach out to traditional Republicans, and he doesn’t seem too eager to do that,” Ryan Wright, executive director of the moderate Kansas Traditional Republican Majority, said Monday. “That leaves their votes up for grabs.”

I think it really says something when you are too extreme for the Kansas Republican Party. I have heard many of the same arguments coming from some of my Republican friends. Perhaps it is people swinging away from the hardcore Christian conservative mindset. I would note that Operation Rescue (the aborted fetus truck people) tried to stage another massive protest in Wichita that only managed to turn out 20 people.

Brownback Crusades Against Roe v. Wade

Another day, another fiery denouncement of Roe v. Wade from Senator Sam Brownback:

Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback and California Rep. Duncan Hunter (news, bio, voting record) addressed the annual March for Life marking the anniversary of the 1973 Roe v. Wade ruling.

“We recognize a tragedy of life in Roe v. Wade, but that tragedy will not always stand,” Brownback told thousands of cheering abortion foes at an afternoon rally.

Two things. First, the more Senator Sam Brownback gets grouped with Duncan Hunter, the worse for his chances in the GOP presidential primary. Hunter is rapidly vying with Tancredo for the honor of being the GOP’s Dennis Kucinich.

Second. Broken freakin’ record. We get it. Sam Brownback doesn’t like abortion. He also doesn’t like contraception, and employs the talents of an adviser who openly advocates for the banning of all forms of contraception. I’ll let you draw conclusions about the type of America Brownback would like to live in. Think Margaret Atwood.

Brownback Annoucement Weekend News Roundup

  • **Americablog notes Sam Brownback’s refusal to take a personal position on gay adoption. John thinks this may be due to the Mary Cheney effect, but I would argue this is part of Brownback’s neccesary (but slight) moderation as he looks to prove to the GOP base that he is not a total loon and he just might be electable in the general election.
  • **The Rights Field has the text of Brownback’s announcement and also remarks that, “There are a few phrases that Brownback uses repeatedly – great nation, American-sized goals, goodness.” I would add “covered in ‘The Jesus’”, but that’s just me…
  • **RedState.com (a conservative blog) note’s Senator Brownback’s presidential announcement with the headline: “Thus Begins a Quixotic Quest”. The folks that write and hang out on RedState aren’t exactly moderate. Brownback will have to convince them, and those like them, that he is a serious candidate.

Brownback Announces, No One Notices

Poor guy. Nothing like announcing your run for the presidency on the same day that Hillary Clinton secretly picked. I don’t have a link yet for the Clinton announcement, but I have an email from her campaign stating that she will form an exploratory committee. I figure this will just about overshadow anything Brownback does today.

Brownback to Fight for Flat Tax

The Wichita Eagle notes that Brownback has announced he will add the flat tax to his Presidential platform:

Remember the flat tax? The policy proposal gained traction among conservative politicians for a while in the 1990s, but it withered amid little real-world political support.

Now it’s back, as a fiscal policy cornerstone of Sen. Sam Brownback’s campaign for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination.

It calls for earned income to be taxed at the same marginal rate, unlike the current system, which has different tax brackets for different incomes. Typically, proponents of a flat tax call for eliminating most deductions except for a sizable individual exemption.

“We need a flat tax instead of the dreadful, incomprehensible tax code we now have,” Brownback wrote in the letter that announced the creation of his presidential exploratory committee.

Frequent visitors to TheAntiSam will remember Brownback’s previous flirtation with the flat tax. In March of 2006, Brownback held hearings on the Flat Tax with the stated goal of implementing it in Washington D.C.

Over at The Right’s Field, Matt makes an interesting comment on Brownback’s adoption of the flat tax platform for his presidential campaign:

What this does do, though, is define Brownback as a candidate with strong beliefs at a time when other leading Republican contenders are regularly lambasted for flip-flops and shifting political visions. Not every Republican will go for a flat tax, but it will certainly distinguish Brownback from other candidates – just as his stance on the Iraq war is unique for GOP candidates (save Pataki). Unlike Chuck Hagel, whose only hope is through voters valuing his principles, Brownback’s principles have appeal to a larger segment of the primary voting base. Standing up for one’s beliefs is a tactic that I’d recommend to any politician; it just happens to be something that can realistically be expect to propel Brownback to the nomination.

I agree. Brownback is certainly positioning himself as the candidate with principles. Perhaps not all GOP primary voters with agree with his principles, but compared to the other jokers in the running, Brownback comes out looking the least wishy-washy on the issues that matter most in the Republican Primary.

Brownback for President: It’s Official

According to an email I received this afternoon, Senator Sam Brownback has confirmed he is making the next step in his Presidential bid:

It’s Official: Brownback to Announce for the Presidency…

United States Senator
Sam Brownback (R-KS)

Will announce his intention to run for President of the United States this Saturday in Topeka, KS. Please join the Senator as he begins this historic quest from his home state.

When:
Saturday, January 20, 2007
Doors Open: 10:30 AM
Doors Close: 11:30 AM
Event Begins: 12:00 PM Sharp!

This event is by invitation only and is non-transferable!

Where:
Heritage Hall at the Kansas Expocentre
1 Expocentre Drive
Topeka, KS 66612

Please RSVP to:
Martin Gillespie (mgillespie@brownback.com)

Questions?
Please contact the Brownback for President campaign at (785) 220-2615.

###

PAID FOR BY BROWNBACK FOR PRESIDENT, EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE
P.O. Box 2008 | Topeka, KS 66601-2008 |

Conservative Base Agrees With Brownback’s Stance on Iraq

Noam Scheiber of the New Republic reads into Brownback’s stance on Iraq:

So what is Brownback up to? On one level it’s pretty obvious. John McCain and, to varying degrees, the rest of the GOP field have cast their lot with Bush and the surge. There’s nothing for a longshot like Brownback to gain by falling in line behind them, and plenty to gain by distinguishing himself on the issue. That’s particularly true given the exceedingly likely possibility that the surge will fail, at which point Brownback will look somewhere between sober and prophetic.

More interestingly, the move turns out to be pretty welcome among Brownback’s desired base of social conservatives. While 52 percent of Republicans support the surge according to a just-released AP/Ipsos poll, some 60 percent of white evangelicals oppose [a troop surge in Iraq], as do 56 percent of self-described conservatives. So we’re actually talking about a twofer here: shore up your base while positioning yourself to poach votes from the other guys. (Actually, a three-fer, since this has the added merit of being the substantively sane position.) Not bad for a day’s work.

I’ve always maintained that Brownback is crazy like a fox…